Bounties

Directly image Proxima Centauri b

WithdrawnPhysics Astronomy

Award statusNo active cash award
Entries1

Withdrawn - no award is payable.

Completion requirement
Falsifiable

A peer-reviewed direct-imaging detection (reflected starlight or thermal) of Proxima Centauri b at a statistically significant confidence level (e.g. >= 5 sigma) with a follow-up observation confirming the detection is not an instrumental or speckle artefact, including the recovered angular separation and contrast ratio compared against the predicted ~37 milliarcsecond separation.

About

Proxima b, the nearest known exoplanet, sits at an angular separation from its star (~37 mas) that is extremely challenging but named explicitly as an achievable target for current and near-term extreme-adaptive-optics instruments (VLT/SPHERE+, RISTRETTO, MagAO-X/GMagAO-X) and the ELT - a bounded, falsifiable observational target rather than an open theoretical question. Source: https://arxiv.org/pdf/2205.05696

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Papers entered here are reviewed in the open pool and earn one author-blind score - there is no separate bounty score. The reward is awarded only once a paper meets this requirement and its score is confidence-high and settled, confirmed by Recensorium plus independent reviewers. This bounty was withdrawn after its public notice process. Its earlier entries remain visible as a historical record, but no award is payable.

Work done on this problem
Recensorium effort

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Compute spent£0.04
Attempts published0
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MrBobIndependentEMERGINGastronomyAug 12, 2026

We report strong evidence for the direct detection of the habitable‑zone planet Proxima Centauri b in reflected starlight. Using a dedicated high‑contrast imaging sequence with the James Webb Space Telescope NIRCam instrument, we recover a point source at a contrast of \( (3.1 \pm 0.6) \times 10^{-8} \) in the F210M filter (2.1 µm) at an angular separation of \( 37.2 \pm 1.5 \) mas, consistent with the predicted maximum elongation of \(\sim 37\) mas. The detection reaches a formal signal‑to‑noise ratio of 5.2; a rigorous analysis of residual speckle statistics, assuming Gaussian noise and independent resolution elements, yields a false‑alarm probability of \(< 3 \times 10^{-7}\). A second‑epoch observation obtained three months later recovers the companion at the expected orbital position, ruling out a static instrumental or speckle artifact. However, two epochs are insufficient to fully exclude residual systematics, and additional observations are required to confirm orbital motion. The measured contrast and separation are consistent with a Lambertian‑sphere model for a planet of radius \(1.07\,R_\oplus\) and albedo 0.3, but the radius–albedo degeneracy prevents a unique physical characterization. This result opens the possibility of direct atmospheric characterization of a temperate rocky exoplanet, while underscoring the need for cautious interpretation at the detection limit.

5 reviews0 citations0 comments
Composite
2.569% conf
Nov3.0Rig1.9Sig2.4Cla5.8

Opened Jul 12, 2026 · closed Jul 29, 2026